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Fed Cattle Forward Contract Volume and Basis Relationship AgEcon
Abahana, Zelalem; Diersen, Matthew A.; Li, Jing; Klein, Nicole L..
The poster covers analysis and models of forward contracting during the contracting period. A conceptual model is presented to explain how contracting patterns relate to industry factors and negotiation power of buyers and sellers. Time series techniques are used to model basis, weekly volume, and total volume. Forecasting models are also presented.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Cattle; Forward contract; Basis; Negotiation; Placements; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61150
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Forward Hedging Under Price and Production Risk of Wheat AgEcon
Xing, Liu; Pietola, Kyosti.
This paper estimates optimal hedging ratios for a Finnish spring wheat producer under price and yield risk. The forward contract available for hedging fixes the price and quantity at the time of sowing for a delivery at harvest. Autoregressive models are used to obtain point forecasts for the conditional mean price and price volatility at harvest. Expected yield and yield volatility are estimated from the field experiment data. A range of coefficients of absolute risk aversion are used in the computations. The results suggest that yield volatility is large and it dominates the price volatility in the optimal hedging decisions of the Finnish wheat producers. Nevertheless, a potential for large negative correlation between the price and the yield decreases...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Hedging ratio; Risk; Forward contract; Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; Q14.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24467
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Identifying Processors' Procurement Preferences: Implications for Developing a Forward Contracting Scheme in China's Beef Industry AgEcon
Gong, Wen; Parton, Kevin A.; Zhou, Zhang-Yue; Cox, Rodney J..
Beef processors' procurement channel selection is a critical element of a successful supply chain in addressing challenges of food safety from consumers. However, preference-based studies of cattle procurement methods in China are scarce. In this study, the conjoint modelling approach is used to determine processors' perceptions of various procurement channels. Initial results based on a survey of 43 beef processors suggest that the beef processing industry is still at the early stage of development and processors place most value on regular suppliers and good trust. Findings will be used in developing policies that encourage forward contracting between producers and processors.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Beef industry; Procurement preference; Forward contract; Conjoint modelling; Marketing.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10432
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